What could, and most likely, be Tropical Storm Debby in the Gulf of Mexico is slowly developing. With systems this scattered it becomes very difficult to predict direction until the storm develops more. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft will visit the system tomorrow and hopefully be able to narrow the path down. A very high 90% probability is given by the National Hurricane center as of now for development. Models currently are split where this storm will head ranging from Houston to Tampa.
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Invest 96 ASCAT image
Tropical Storm Debby model
Tropical Storm Debby NAM vs GFS models
Tropical System development probability
Tropical Storm Debby Forecast Model Plots
Tropical Storm Debby Model Plots
At 8PM EDT on 6/21/12 The National Hurricane Center has given the tropical system development a 70% probability in the next 48 hours.
Forecasted rainfall over Gulf due to Tropical Storm Debby
European Model for Tropical Storm Debby (120 days)